Where the market is wrong on Orlando Pride W v San Diego Wave W
Orlando Pride W meet San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women group stage at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.
San Diego Wave W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1477. Recent form leans San Diego Wave W, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors San Diego Wave W on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Orlando Pride W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v San Diego Wave W, W 3-1 @ Bay FC W, L 1-4 v Portland Thorns W, D 2-2 @ Kansas City W.
San Diego Wave W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Orlando Pride W, W 2-0 @ Racing Louisville W, W 2-0 v Kansas City W, W 2-1 v North Carolina Courage W.
Orlando Pride W hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orlando Pride W 1-2 San Diego Wave W.
The market prices ORL at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
