Where the market is wrong on Washington Spirit W v Orlando Pride W
Washington Spirit W meet Orlando Pride W in the NWSL Women group stage at Audi Field, undefined.
Washington Spirit W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Washington Spirit W, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Washington Spirit W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Washington Spirit W at 61%; double chance reads Washington Spirit W or draw 73%, Orlando Pride W or draw 57%.
Washington Spirit W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Orlando Pride W, D 1-1 @ Angel City W, L 3-4 v North Carolina Courage W, L 0-1 v San Diego Wave W.
Orlando Pride W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Washington Spirit W, L 1-2 @ Portland Thorns W, L 1-3 v Racing Louisville W, L 0-5 @ North Carolina Courage W.
The market prices WAS at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
