Where the market is wrong on IF Karlstad v AFC Eskilstuna
IF Karlstad meet AFC Eskilstuna in the Ettan - Norra norra - 20 at Sola Arena, Karlstad.
AFC Eskilstuna rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1581. Recent form leans AFC Eskilstuna, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors AFC Eskilstuna on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
IF Karlstad arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v AFC Eskilstuna, D 2-2 @ Gefle IF, L 1-2 @ Sollentuna, L 0-2 v Sandviken.
AFC Eskilstuna are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ IF Karlstad, W 2-1 v Sollentuna, W 3-0 @ Karlberg, D 4-4 v Oddevold.
AFC Eskilstuna hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IF Karlstad 1-2 AFC Eskilstuna.
The market prices IF at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on AFC Eskilstuna: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
