Algeria v Nigeria: the model read
Algeria meet Nigeria in the Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals at Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 71%. Attacking output favors Algeria on expected goals, 2.0 to 2.0 per match.
Algeria arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Burundi, W 3-1 v Zambia, L 0-2 @ Switzerland, D 3-3 v Austria.
Nigeria are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Guinea-Bissau, W 2-1 v Madagascar, L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Algeria 0-2 Nigeria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
