Where the market is wrong on Råde v Gjøvik-Lyn
Råde meet Gjøvik-Lyn in the 3. Division - Girone 6 regular season - 18.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Råde on expected goals, 3.3 to 1.4 per match.
Råde arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Gjøvik-Lyn, L 2-3 @ Sarpsborg 08 II, L 1-2 v Follo, W 3-2 v Drøbak / Frogn.
Gjøvik-Lyn are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Råde, W 5-0 v Brumunddal, L 2-7 v Eidsvold, L 0-1 @ Ørn Horten.
The market prices RÅD at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Gjøvik-Lyn: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output