Where the market is wrong on Tromsø II v Kongsvinger II
Tromsø II meet Kongsvinger II in the 3. Division - Girone 5 regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 40%. Attacking output favors Tromsø II on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Tromsø II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Fauske Sprint, W 6-0 v Kongsvinger II, L 2-3 @ Skjetten, L 0-1 v Harstad.
Kongsvinger II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Harstad, L 0-6 @ Tromsø II, L 1-5 v Fløya, L 1-3 @ Skjervøy.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tromsø II 6-0 Kongsvinger II.
The market prices TRO at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on Kongsvinger II: a 21.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output