Where the market is wrong on Kjelsås v Follo
Kjelsås meet Follo in the 2. Division - Group 2 regular season - 21 at Grefsen Stadion, Oslo.
Kjelsås rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Kjelsås, 65% against 28%. Attacking output favors Kjelsås on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.
Kjelsås arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Follo, L 2-3 @ Grorud, L 0-2 v Ham-Kam, W 5-0 v Stjørdals-Blink.
Follo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Kjelsås, L 0-1 v Eidsvold, L 2-5 @ Levanger, W 1-0 v Tromsdalen Uil.
The market prices KJE at 76% implied. Our number sits apart on Follo: a 11.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
