jerv v Lysekloster

jerv meet Lysekloster in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 13. The model makes jerv the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% JER, 27% draw, 29% LYS.

jerv rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1420. Recent form leans jerv, 63% against 39%. Attacking output favors jerv on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans jerv at 61%; double chance reads jerv or draw 71%, Lysekloster or draw 55%.

jerv arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Lysekloster, W 3-1 @ Sotra, W 2-1 @ Brattvåg, W 2-1 v Sandviken.

Lysekloster are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ jerv, D 1-1 v Brattvåg, W 3-2 @ Sandviken, L 0-2 v Notodden.

Lysekloster hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: jerv 1-2 Lysekloster.

The market prices JER at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Lysekloster: a 18.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.