Where the market is wrong on Stabaek v Sogndal
Stabaek meet Sogndal in the 1. Division regular season - 23 at Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua.
Stabaek rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1454. Recent form leans Stabaek, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Stabaek on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.1 per match.
Stabaek arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sogndal, L 1-2 @ Pors Grenland, L 0-2 @ Bryne, L 2-3 v Moss.
Sogndal are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Stabaek, D 1-1 @ Sotra, D 1-1 v Strommen, L 0-2 @ Haugesund.
Stabaek hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stabaek 2-1 Sogndal.
The market prices STA at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Sogndal: a 12.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
