Where the market is wrong on Rosenborg v Ham-Kam
Rosenborg meet Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien regular season - 20 at Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Rosenborg on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Rosenborg arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 17 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Bodo/Glimt, W 9-0 @ National Kameratene, W 2-1 v Viking, W 2-0 @ Lillestrom.
Ham-Kam are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Kristiansund BK, W 5-0 @ Trysil FK, L 0-3 @ Brann, D 1-1 v Aalesund.
The market prices ROS at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Ham-Kam: a 18.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
