Where the market is wrong on IFK Goteborg v Orgryte IS
IFK Goteborg meet Orgryte IS in the Allsvenskan regular season - 19 at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IFK Goteborg, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors IFK Goteborg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
IFK Goteborg arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Orgryte IS, D 1-1 v IF Elfsborg, L 0-3 @ Degerfors IF, D 1-1 @ Gent.
Orgryte IS are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ IFK Goteborg, W 3-1 @ Eskilsminne, D 1-1 v Halmstad, L 1-3 @ IF Brommapojkarna.
The market prices IFK at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Orgryte IS: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
