Where the market is wrong on Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central meet Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 8 at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rosario Central, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Rosario Central on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Rosario Central arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gimnasia L.P., D 2-2 @ Talleres Cordoba, L 0-1 @ Corinthians, W 1-0 @ Barracas Central.
Newells Old Boys are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Estudiantes L.P., W 2-1 v Banfield, W 2-0 v Deportivo Riestra, L 1-2 @ Defensa Y Justicia.
The market prices ROS at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Newells Old Boys: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
