Where the market is wrong on Remo v Coritiba
Remo meet Coritiba in the Serie A regular season - 25 at Mangueirão, Belem.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Remo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Remo arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Coritiba, L 1-2 @ Fluminense, D 1-1 @ Internacional, D 2-2 v Atletico-MG.
Coritiba are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Remo, W 2-1 v Corinthians, D 1-1 @ Sao Paulo, W 2-1 v Chapecoense-sc.
Coritiba hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Remo 2-3 Coritiba.
The market prices REM at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Coritiba: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
