Where the market is wrong on New York City FC v Nashville SC
New York City FC meet Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Yankee Stadium, New York.
Nashville SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1454. Recent form leans Nashville SC, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors Nashville SC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
New York City FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Toronto FC, D 1-1 @ New England Revolution, L 1-2 @ FC Cincinnati, L 2-3 v Philadelphia Union.
Nashville SC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v FC Cincinnati, W 3-2 v Columbus Crew, W 1-0 @ New York Red Bulls, W 4-1 v Inter Miami.
Nashville SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nashville SC 2-1 New York City FC.
The market prices NEW at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Nashville SC: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
