Where the market is wrong on Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC meet FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Geodis Park, Nashville.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors FC Cincinnati on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.
Nashville SC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v FC Cincinnati, W 3-2 v Columbus Crew, W 1-0 @ New York Red Bulls, W 4-1 v Inter Miami.
FC Cincinnati are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Nashville SC, D 1-1 v Seattle Sounders, W 2-1 v New York City FC, D 1-1 @ Orlando City SC.
FC Cincinnati hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati.
The market prices NAS at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Cincinnati: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
