Olimpia v Libertad Asuncion: the model read
Olimpia meet Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura clausura - 1 at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asuncion. The model makes Olimpia the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% OLI, 29% draw, 27% LIB.
Olimpia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1613 to 1454. Recent form leans Olimpia, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Olimpia on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Olimpia at 62%; double chance reads Olimpia or draw 73%, Libertad Asuncion or draw 56%.
Olimpia arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Libertad Asuncion, L 2-4 @ Flamengo, W 3-1 v A. Italiano, W 2-1 @ Sportivo Luqueno.
Libertad Asuncion are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Olimpia, L 0-1 v UCV, L 1-2 @ Nacional Asuncion, L 1-4 @ Independiente del Valle.
Libertad Asuncion hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olimpia 0-1 Libertad Asuncion.
The market prices OLI at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Libertad Asuncion: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
