Real Potosí won the Nacional B Final 4-0, a result that the pre-match numbers did not anticipate. The Lemeister model had made CD IN San Juan FC marginal favourites with a 37 per cent win probability and projected a 2-1 away win. Instead, the home side delivered a commanding performance that contradicted the statistical forecast.
No information is available on how the four goals were scored, by whom, or at what minute. The data records zero named scorers, zero assisters and zero goal types, so the timeline of the match remains unpopulated. What can be stated is that the 4-0 margin is decisive. In a cup final, such a gap between the sides indicates that Real Potosí were efficient in attack and resolute in defence. The fact that CD IN San Juan FC failed to score suggests their attack was stifled or that they created little of substance. The clean sheet was the foundation of the victory.
Without possession, shot, expected goals, passing or corner statistics, the analysis must rely on the scoreline and available match data. The absence of cards points to a contest that was not particularly fractious. Both teams made zero substitutions, meaning each manager kept faith with their starting line-ups for the full match. This can be interpreted as a sign of confidence in the chosen personnel, or, in the case of CD IN San Juan FC, a lack of impactful options from the bench.
No named players appear in the data, so no individual performances can be discussed beyond the general observation that the entire home team contributed to a multi-goal shutout. The match ratings are absent, so there is no statistical basis to single out any performer as particularly influential. The result was a collective achievement. The home defence and goalkeeper ensured the clean sheet, while multiple teammates found the net across the 90 minutes to build the 4-0 total.
The outcome carries heavy significance in the competition context. Real Potosí entered the final with a 33 per cent chance according to the Lemeister model, making this a clear upset. They now hold the Nacional B trophy, a triumph built on efficiency and defensive solidity. For CD IN San Juan FC, who were given a 37 per cent chance and were the model's projected winners, this defeat ends their campaign in disappointment. The manner of the loss, with no goals scored across 90 minutes after being favoured, suggests that the team may need to address its attacking productivity ahead of the next season.
This result validates the unpredictability of cup football, where a single match can upend probabilistic expectations. Real Potosí will celebrate a trophy earned through discipline and execution. CD IN San Juan FC must regroup and reflect, knowing that the model's pre-match read saw them as the more likely victor but the actual match told a different story entirely. The final scoreline stands as the only authoritative record of what happened.
