Dečić v Sutjeska: the model read
Dečić meet Sutjeska in the Cup quarter-finals at Tusko, Tuzi. The model makes Sutjeska the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% DEČ, 32% draw, 35% SUT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Sutjeska on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Sutjeska at 52%; double chance reads Dečić or draw 65%, Sutjeska or draw 67%.
Dečić arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v FK Liepaja, L 0-1 @ FK Liepaja, W 4-1 v Arsenal Tivat, D 1-1 @ Vllaznia Shkodër.
Sutjeska are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ ML Vitebsk, L 0-2 v Kairat Almaty, L 1-2 @ Kairat Almaty, L 1-2 v FK Sarajevo.
Sutjeska hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sutjeska 3-0 Dečić.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
