North Ferriby v Newton Aycliffe: the model read
North Ferriby meet Newton Aycliffe in the Non League Div One - Northern East northern east - 18 at The Dransfield Stadium, North Ferriby, East Yorkshire. The model makes North Ferriby the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% NOR, 29% draw, 29% NEW.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans North Ferriby, 45% against 31%. Attacking output favors Newton Aycliffe on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans North Ferriby at 59%; double chance reads North Ferriby or draw 71%, Newton Aycliffe or draw 58%.
North Ferriby arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Scunthorpe, L 1-2 v Redcar Athletic, D 0-0 @ Lincoln United, W 2-0 @ AFC Emley.
Newton Aycliffe are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ AFC Emley, L 2-3 v Matlock Town, D 1-1 @ Bridlington Town, L 0-3 v Dunston UTS.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Newton Aycliffe 0-1 North Ferriby.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output