AD Marco 09 v O Elvas: the model read
AD Marco 09 meet O Elvas in the Taça de Portugal round of 128 at Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses. The model makes O Elvas the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% AD , 32% draw, 39% O E.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors O Elvas on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans O Elvas at 57%; double chance reads AD Marco 09 or draw 61%, O Elvas or draw 71%.
AD Marco 09 arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ União de Leiria, D 2-2 @ Paredes, W 1-0 v SC Braga B, W 1-0 v Fafe.
O Elvas are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Moncarapachense, D 0-0 @ Comércio Indústria, W 3-2 v FC Serpa, L 0-2 @ Alcochetense.
AD Marco 09 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: AD Marco 09 1-0 O Elvas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
