Noja v Cartes: the model read
Noja meet Cartes in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 34 at Campo La Caseta, Noja. The model makes Cartes the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 25% NOJ, 30% draw, 45% CAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cartes, 38% against 15%. Attacking output favors Cartes on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Cartes at 64%; double chance reads Noja or draw 55%, Cartes or draw 75%.
Noja arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Cartes, L 0-6 @ Gimnástica Torrelavega, L 0-1 v Revilla, L 1-4 @ Guarnizo.
Cartes are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Noja, D 0-0 v Castro, L 2-3 @ Cayón, L 0-1 v Montañas Pas.
Cartes hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Noja 2-2 Cartes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
