Eldense v Alcorcon: the model read
Eldense meet Alcorcon in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 25 at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Eldense on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Alcorcon at 52%; double chance reads Eldense or draw 64%, Alcorcon or draw 66%.
Eldense arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Cadiz, L 0-3 @ Almeria, L 0-1 @ Albacete, L 1-3 v Villarreal II.
Alcorcon are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Unionistas de Salamanca, L 1-2 @ Mérida AD, D 1-1 v Rayo Majadahonda, W 2-0 v Getafe II.
Their last 4 meetings are tight — 4 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Eldense 2-2 Alcorcon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
