Angoulême and Saumur drew 2-2 at Stade Lebon, Angoulême.
How it unfolded: 6' M. Kamissoko (ANG), 35' A. N. Bouhenni (SAU), 39' W. Lgharbi (SAU), 52' J. Affamah (ANG pen).
Discipline: 2 red (Majid Ahmed, M. Kamissoko).
The model leaned Saumur at 38% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 30%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.
Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Angoulême 1-2 Saumur; the match finished 2-2.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data
