Irapuato v Tepatitlán: the model read
Irapuato meet Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 7 at Estadio Sergio León Chávez, Irapuato. The model makes Tepatitlán the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% IRA, 31% draw, 38% TEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tepatitlán, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Irapuato on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Tepatitlán at 56%; double chance reads Irapuato or draw 62%, Tepatitlán or draw 69%.
Irapuato arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Mineros de Zacatecas, W 2-1 @ Tapatío, W 3-1 v CA La Paz, L 0-2 @ Monarcas.
Tepatitlán are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Durango, L 0-2 @ CDS Tampico Madero, W 3-1 v CDS Tampico Madero, W 1-0 v CDS Tampico Madero.
Tepatitlán hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tepatitlán 2-1 Irapuato.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
