AR São Martinho v Monção: the model read
AR São Martinho meet Monção in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A group a - 26 at Estádio Comendador Abílio Ferreira de Oliveira, São Martinho do Campo - Santo Tirso. The model makes AR São Martinho the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% AR , 31% draw, 25% MON.
AR São Martinho rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans AR São Martinho, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors AR São Martinho on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans AR São Martinho at 64%; double chance reads AR São Martinho or draw 75%, Monção or draw 56%.
AR São Martinho arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Monção, L 0-2 @ Mirandela, W 2-0 v Ribeira Brava, D 0-0 @ Celoricense.
Monção are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ AR São Martinho, L 0-5 v Vianense, L 0-1 @ Tirsense, L 1-4 v Chaves II.
AR São Martinho hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AR São Martinho 3-1 Monção.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
