Homberg v SW Essen: the model read
Homberg meet SW Essen in the Oberliga - Niederrhein niederrhein - 25 at PCC-Stadion, Duisburg. The model makes SW Essen the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% HOM, 28% draw, 37% SW .
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 38%. Attacking output favors SW Essen on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans SW Essen at 51%; double chance reads Homberg or draw 63%, SW Essen or draw 65%.
Homberg arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Fortuna Düsseldorf II, L 1-2 v Kleve, L 0-4 @ Schonnebeck, W 5-1 v BW Dingden.
SW Essen are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 7 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Rot-Weiß Essen, L 3-4 v Meerbusch, L 3-4 @ Kleve, L 0-4 v Schonnebeck.
Homberg hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Homberg 1-2 SW Essen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
