Norway W v Italy W: the model read
Norway W meet Italy W in the UEFA Championship - Women quarter-finals at Stade de Genève, Lancy. The model makes Norway W the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% NOR, 31% draw, 33% ITA.
Norway W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1466. Recent form leans Norway W, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Norway W on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Norway W at 53%; double chance reads Norway W or draw 67%, Italy W or draw 63%.
Norway W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Austria W, L 0-2 @ Germany W, W 3-2 @ Slovenia W, W 5-0 v Slovenia W.
Italy W are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sweden W, W 3-0 v Serbia W, D 0-0 @ Denmark W, W 6-0 @ Serbia W.
Italy W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Norway W 1-2 Italy W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
