VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund: the model read
VfB Stuttgart meet Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga regular season - 28 at MHPArena, Stuttgart. The model makes Borussia Dortmund the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 33% VFB, 28% draw, 39% BOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Borussia Dortmund, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Borussia Dortmund at 54%; double chance reads VfB Stuttgart or draw 61%, Borussia Dortmund or draw 67%.
VfB Stuttgart arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Balingen, L 0-3 @ Bayern München, D 2-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-1 v Bayer Leverkusen.
Borussia Dortmund are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Rot-weiss Oberhausen, W 2-0 @ Werder Bremen, W 3-2 v Eintracht Frankfurt, L 0-1 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach.
VfB Stuttgart hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
