FC St. Pauli v VfB Stuttgart: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga regular season - 21 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg. The model makes VfB Stuttgart the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 26% FC , 26% draw, 48% VFB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans VfB Stuttgart, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans VfB Stuttgart at 65%; double chance reads FC St. Pauli or draw 52%, VfB Stuttgart or draw 74%.
FC St. Pauli arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HNK Gorica, W 4-1 @ SV Babelsberg 03, W 3-1 @ Kickers Emden, W 6-2 @ Altona 93.
VfB Stuttgart are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Balingen, L 0-3 @ Bayern München, D 2-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-1 v Bayer Leverkusen.
VfB Stuttgart hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC St. Pauli 2-1 VfB Stuttgart.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
