Mexico 
Saudi ArabiaMexico v Saudi Arabia: the model read
Mexico meet Saudi Arabia in the CONCACAF Gold Cup quarter-finals at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona.
Mexico rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1504. Recent form leans Mexico, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mexico on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Mexico arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v England, W 2-0 v Ecuador, W 3-0 @ Czechia, W 1-0 v South Korea.
Saudi Arabia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Cape Verde Islands, L 0-4 @ Spain, D 1-1 v Uruguay, D 0-0 v Senegal.
Mexico hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Mexico 2-0 Saudi Arabia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
