Pisa v Lecce: the model read
Pisa meet Lecce in the Serie A regular season - 35 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. The model makes Lecce the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 27% PIS, 31% draw, 41% LEC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lecce, 45% against 16%. Attacking output favors Lecce on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Lecce at 60%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 59%, Lecce or draw 73%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio, L 0-3 v Napoli, L 0-3 @ Cremonese.
Lecce are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Istra 1961, L 0-1 v FC Politehnica Timisoara, W 1-0 @ Szombathelyi Haladas, W 1-0 v Genoa.
Lecce hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pisa 1-2 Lecce.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
