OH Leuven v Dender: the model read
OH Leuven meet Dender in the Jupiler Pro League conference league play-off group - 4 at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee. The model makes OH Leuven the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% OH , 29% draw, 26% DEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans OH Leuven, 45% against 26%. Attacking output favors OH Leuven on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans OH Leuven at 63%; double chance reads OH Leuven or draw 74%, Dender or draw 55%.
OH Leuven arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Heerenveen, L 0-3 @ Club Brugge II, W 1-0 v K. Lierse S.K., W 5-1 v Lommel United.
Dender are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Lommel United, L 2-3 @ Lommel United, L 1-2 @ Zulte Waregem, W 2-1 v RAAL La Louvière.
OH Leuven hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: OH Leuven 3-2 Dender.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
