Gabon v Mozambique: the model read
Gabon meet Mozambique in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 2 at Stade Adrar, Agadir.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gabon, 50% against 32%. Attacking output favors Gabon on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Gabon arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Trinidad and Tobago, L 1-3 @ Uzbekistan, L 2-3 v Ivory Coast, L 2-3 v Mozambique.
Mozambique are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.
Mozambique hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gabon 2-3 Mozambique.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
