Amarante v CF Os Belenenses: the model read
Amarante meet CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3 promotion group - 13 at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante. The model makes Amarante the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% AMA, 31% draw, 28% CF .
Amarante rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1516. Recent form leans Amarante, 74% against 53%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Amarante at 60%; double chance reads Amarante or draw 72%, CF Os Belenenses or draw 59%.
Amarante arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chaves, W 3-1 @ Guimaraes B, W 1-0 v União Santarém, D 0-0 @ Trofense.
CF Os Belenenses are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Benfica, L 1-2 @ Alverca, D 0-0 v Farense, L 0-1 @ Farense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Amarante 2-2 CF Os Belenenses.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
