Berazategui beat Puerto Nuevo 3-0 at the Estadio Norman Lee in Primera C's Regular Season round 6, a result decided by clinical finishing in the second half. The home side's three unanswered goals built a scoreline that exceeded the statistical margin suggested by their overall control of the match. The Lemeister model gave Berazategui a 38% win probability, with the draw at 35% and Puerto Nuevo at 27%, and projected a 1-0 home victory. The actual 3-0 margin slightly under-estimated the attacking efficiency on display, though the model correctly identified Berazategui as the favourite.
G. D. Fernandez opened the scoring in the 32nd minute with a normal goal. That solitary strike was the only breakthrough of a first half in which the home side established territorial dominance without being able to extend their lead before the interval. The goal provided the platform to push for more, and the second arrived after the break. Fernandez struck again in the 59th minute, scoring his second normal goal of the afternoon to double the lead and effectively place the game beyond Puerto Nuevo's reach. The third goal came in the 90th minute, with A. Vera adding a normal goal to complete the scoring in stoppage time, giving the final scoreline a comfortable gloss.
Without detailed possession, shot or expected goals data in the available statistics, the analysis rests on the observable outcome and the pre-match projection. The Lemeister model's forecast of a 1-0 home win suggests that the statistical expectation was for a tighter contest than the 3-0 final score. The two additional goals, both coming in the second half, indicate that Berazategui's attacking pressure increased as the match progressed, possibly due to Puerto Nuevo being forced to commit more players forward in search of an equaliser after the 59th-minute goal.
The absence of any cards on either side suggests a contest that, while one-sided in terms of goals, did not descend into indiscipline. Both teams completed no substitutions according to the available data, indicating either satisfaction with their starting XIs or a lack of tactical disruption caused by the scoreline. This is unusual for a match with a three-goal margin, as losing sides often make changes to alter their approach. Puerto Nuevo's decision not to substitute suggests they either lacked alternative options or believed their starting lineup was capable of retrieving the situation.
Berazategui's clean sheet was as significant as their three goals. The defence, supported by a collective effort that limited Puerto Nuevo to no response, ensured the home side never had to chase the game. The midfield and forward lines ensured that the attacking threat was sustained across the 90 minutes, with the two goals from Fernandez the obvious standout contributions. His double in the 32nd and 59th minutes was decisive in breaking Puerto Nuevo's resistance, while Vera's stoppage-time strike added a final flourish that inflated the margin beyond what the Lemeister model had anticipated.
From a competition perspective, this victory gives Berazategui a strong positive result in the Regular Season, especially as it came with a clean sheet. The three points contribute to their campaign in a competitive Primera C table where home form is often crucial. Puerto Nuevo, who were the underdogs at 27% pre-match according to the Lemeister model, will be concerned by their inability to create any goalscoring moment of note. The margin of defeat, three goals to nil, leaves them with work to do in their upcoming fixtures, particularly in tightening a defence that was breached three times here. For Berazategui, the attacking unit has shown early promise through Fernandez's double and the overall balance between defence and attack that produced a convincing result.
