Miami FC v Naples: the model read
Miami FC meet Naples in the USL League One Cup group stage - 4 at South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Florida.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Miami FC, 40% against 25%. Attacking output favors Miami FC on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Miami FC at 59%; double chance reads Miami FC or draw 71%, Naples or draw 58%.
Miami FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Charleston Battery, L 1-2 @ Hartford Athletic, L 1-2 @ San Antonio, L 0-1 v Las Vegas Lights.
Naples are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Union Omaha, W 2-1 @ Alta, L 2-3 @ Westchester SC, W 2-1 v Alta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output