Ferro Carril v Melo Wanderers: the model read
Ferro Carril meet Melo Wanderers in the Copa Uruguay round of 16 at Estadio Ernesto Dickinson, Salto. The model makes Ferro Carril the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% FER, 31% draw, 34% MEL.
Ferro Carril rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1420. Recent form leans Ferro Carril, 61% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ferro Carril on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Ferro Carril at 52%; double chance reads Ferro Carril or draw 66%, Melo Wanderers or draw 64%.
Ferro Carril arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Defensor Sporting, D 1-1 v Melo Wanderers, W 2-1 v Oriental, D 1-1 v Peñarol de Rivera.
Melo Wanderers are patchy: 0W-3D-0L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ferro Carril, D 2-2 v Lavalleja de Rocha, D 1-1 v Libertad San Carlos.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2024: Ferro Carril 1-1 Melo Wanderers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output