Hoegaarden-Outgaarden v Diest: the model read
Hoegaarden-Outgaarden meet Diest in the Provincial - Brabant VFV brabant - vv - 19 at Terrein De Struysvogel, Hoegaarden. The model makes Hoegaarden-Outgaarden the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 55% HOE, 27% draw, 18% DIE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hoegaarden-Outgaarden, 45% against 0%. Attacking output favors Hoegaarden-Outgaarden on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Hoegaarden-Outgaarden at 75%; double chance reads Hoegaarden-Outgaarden or draw 82%, Diest or draw 45%.
Hoegaarden-Outgaarden arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Averbode Okselaar, L 0-1 v Huldenberg, L 1-2 @ Fenixx BeigHum, W 3-1 v Leeuwkens Teralfene.
Diest are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 0 scored and 25 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Pepingen-Halle, L 0-5 v Wolvertem Merchtem, L 0-5 @ Wambeek-Ternat, L 0-5 v Kraainem.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Diest 1-2 Hoegaarden-Outgaarden.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
