Gueugnon v Neuilly sur Marne: the model read
Gueugnon meet Neuilly sur Marne in the National 3 - Group G group g - 14 at Stade Jean Laville, Gueugnon. The model makes Neuilly sur Marne the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% GUE, 32% draw, 40% NEU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Neuilly sur Marne, 43% against 25%. Attacking output favors Neuilly sur Marne on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Neuilly sur Marne at 58%; double chance reads Gueugnon or draw 60%, Neuilly sur Marne or draw 71%.
Gueugnon arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Louhans-Cuiseaux, W 3-1 v Montceau, D 1-1 v St Maur Lusitanos, D 1-1 @ Racing Colombes 92.
Neuilly sur Marne are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Pays de Cassel, L 0-2 v Lille II, D 1-1 @ Croix Football IC, W 1-0 v Gazelec FC Ajaccio.
Neuilly sur Marne hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gueugnon 1-3 Neuilly sur Marne.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
