De Graafschap v Roda: the model read
De Graafschap meet Roda in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 33 at Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem. The model makes Roda the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 32% DE , 28% draw, 40% ROD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Roda at 56%; double chance reads De Graafschap or draw 60%, Roda or draw 68%.
De Graafschap arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
Roda are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: De Graafschap 2-3 Roda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
