Stade de Mbour v Gorée: the model read
Stade de Mbour meet Gorée in the Ligue 1 regular season - 21 at Stade Caroline Faye, Mbour. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 24% STA, 42% draw, 33% GOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gorée, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Gorée on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 6%, over 2.5 goals around 3%. Draw no bet leans Gorée at 58%; double chance reads Stade de Mbour or draw 67%, Gorée or draw 76%.
Stade de Mbour arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gorée, L 0-2 v Guédiawaye, L 0-2 @ Teungueth, W 2-0 @ DSC.
Gorée are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Stade de Mbour, D 1-1 @ Wally Daan, W 2-1 v AJEL, L 0-2 @ Ouakam.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
