Uruguay U19 v Colombia U19: the model read
Uruguay U19 meet Colombia U19 in the South American Youth Games 3rd place final at Complejo de Fútbol del Comité Olímpico Paraguayo, Luque. The model makes Colombia U19 the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% URU, 29% draw, 38% COL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1502, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Colombia U19, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Colombia U19 on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Colombia U19 at 53%; double chance reads Uruguay U19 or draw 62%, Colombia U19 or draw 67%.
Uruguay U19 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Colombia U19, L 1-3 v Ecuador U19, D 1-1 v Peru U19, D 1-1 @ Paraguay U19.
Colombia U19 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Tunisia U23, D 2-2 @ Congo DR U20, L 0-1 v China PR U20, L 3-5 @ Saudi Arabia U21.
Colombia U19 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Uruguay U19 1-2 Colombia U19.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
