Sweden W v Denmark W: the model read
Sweden W meet Denmark W in the Algarve Cup group stage - 1 at Estádio Do Algarve, São João da Venda. The model makes Sweden W the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% SWE, 30% draw, 34% DEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Denmark W on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Sweden W at 51%; double chance reads Sweden W or draw 66%, Denmark W or draw 64%.
Sweden W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.
Denmark W are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Serbia W, W 2-1 v Sweden W, D 0-0 v Italy W, W 2-1 @ Sweden W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
