Ideal v Sacavenense: the model read
Ideal meet Sacavenense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E group e - 18 at Campo Municipal da Ribeira Grande, Ribeira Grande. The model makes Sacavenense the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 29% IDE, 33% draw, 38% SAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sacavenense, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Ideal on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Sacavenense at 57%; double chance reads Ideal or draw 62%, Sacavenense or draw 71%.
Ideal arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Sacavenense, L 0-1 v Pêro Pinheiro, W 5-1 @ Coruchense, D 2-2 v Rabo Peixe.
Sacavenense are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v União de Leiria, W 7-0 v Rabo Peixe, L 0-2 @ União Santarém, W 1-0 @ Ideal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
