Carquefou v Amiens: the model read
Carquefou meet Amiens in the National 1 regular season - 33 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Carquefou the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% CAR, 31% draw, 26% AMI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carquefou, 53% against 24%. Attacking output favors Amiens on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Carquefou at 62%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 74%, Amiens or draw 57%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Amiens are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Boulogne, D 1-1 v Reims, W 2-1 v Quevilly, W 2-1 @ Le Havre.
Amiens hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Carquefou 1-2 Amiens.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
