Monterrey v FC Juarez: the model read
Monterrey meet FC Juarez in the Copa MX semi-finals at Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe. The model makes FC Juarez the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% MON, 30% draw, 35% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors FC Juarez on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans FC Juarez at 50%; double chance reads Monterrey or draw 65%, FC Juarez or draw 65%.
Monterrey arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Necaxa, W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, D 1-1 @ Atlante FC, W 4-1 @ Cancún.
FC Juarez are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guadalajara Chivas, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Colorado Rapids, W 3-1 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
