FC Juarez v Monterrey: the model read
FC Juarez meet Monterrey in the Copa MX semi-finals at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez. The model makes FC Juarez the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% FC , 30% draw, 35% MON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors FC Juarez on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans FC Juarez at 50%; double chance reads FC Juarez or draw 65%, Monterrey or draw 65%.
FC Juarez arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guadalajara Chivas, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Colorado Rapids, W 3-1 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.
Monterrey are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Necaxa, W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, D 1-1 @ Atlante FC, W 4-1 @ Cancún.
Monterrey hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Juarez 2-2 Monterrey.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
