FC Juarez v Dorados: the model read
FC Juarez meet Dorados in the Copa MX quarter-finals at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez. The model makes FC Juarez the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% FC , 29% draw, 29% DOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Juarez, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors FC Juarez on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans FC Juarez at 60%; double chance reads FC Juarez or draw 71%, Dorados or draw 58%.
FC Juarez arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guadalajara Chivas, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Colorado Rapids, W 3-1 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.
Dorados are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Tapatío, L 0-2 @ Tlaxcala, W 2-1 v Correcaminos Uat, L 0-2 @ Atlante FC.
FC Juarez hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2020: FC Juarez 3-0 Dorados.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
