Guam v Bhutan: the model read
Guam meet Bhutan in the World Cup - Qualification Asia 1st round at Guam National Football Stadium, Hagåtña.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 16% against 23%. Attacking output favors Guam on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Guam at 58%; double chance reads Guam or draw 70%, Bhutan or draw 60%.
Guam arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 @ Myanmar, L 1-5 @ Philippines, W 6-0 @ American Samoa, L 0-4 @ Puerto Rico.
Bhutan are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 22 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Sri Lanka, L 0-4 @ Cambodia, W 2-1 v Brunei, L 1-7 @ Yemen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
