Where the market is wrong on Korea DPR W v China W
Korea DPR W meet China W in the Asian Games Women semi-finals at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1625, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Korea DPR W, 75% against 66%. Attacking output favors Korea DPR W on expected goals, 4.8 to 2.2 per match.
Korea DPR W arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 28 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Chinese Taipei W, D 1-1 @ South Korea W, W 8-0 @ Myanmar W, W 10-0 v Bangladesh W.
China W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Vietnam W, W 5-1 v Philippines W, D 1-1 @ Uzbekistan W, W 5-1 v Hong Kong W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Korea DPR W 1-2 China W.
The market prices KOR at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on China W: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
